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Stance
Composite 0–100 score combining Trend, Breadth, Leadership, and Macro into a single market-regime read. Higher = more constructive; lower = more defensive.
Macro leads, Leadership lags.
Stance is a daily 0–100 score for the current US market regime, composed from four subscores. A high Stance (60–80 constructive, 80+ aggressive) means trend, breadth, leadership, and macro are mostly aligned and supportive. A low Stance (under 40) means most of those pillars are warning. The five regime bands are Defensive (0–19), Caution (20–39), Neutral (40–59), Constructive (60–79), and Aggressive (80–100).
The calculation starts with a fixed 30/30/20/20 raw blend. Trend (30%) reads whether the major indexes are above their moving averages. Breadth (30%) reads how many stocks are actually participating. Leadership (20%) reads who is driving the move. Macro (20%) reads whether the credit, rates, and volatility backdrop helps or hurts risk assets. Trend and Breadth carry the heaviest weight because index direction and participation breadth are the most durable signals of regime quality, while Leadership and Macro provide confirmation and context.
If enough data exists to publish, each missing pillar is neutral-filled at 50without redistributing its weight. A gain-2 contrast then stretches the raw blend around50, and a continuous weakest-pillar agreement ceiling prevents one strong pillar from masking a weak one. Aggressive requires complete coverage and every pillar is at least 50. When Macro falls below 30, a stress multiplier scales the result toward zero. The final score is clamped to 0–100 and shown to one decimal place.
Stance reports current conditions; it is not a forecast and does not recommend trades. The score updates once per US trading day after the close (~23:30 UTC).
The Stance reading is a daily composite score from 0 to 100 that summarizes the current US equity market regime across four subscores: Trend, Breadth, Leadership, and Macro. Trend and Breadth each carry 30% weight; Leadership and Macro each carry 20%. The score maps to five regime bands: Defensive, Caution, Neutral, Constructive, and Aggressive. It is computed after the US market close each trading day. Stance reports current conditions; it is not a forecast or trade recommendation.
A market regime is the prevailing condition of the equity market over a multi-week to multi-month window: whether trend, breadth, leadership, and macro are aligned constructively, neutrally, or defensively. TickerStance describes that condition with a 0-100 Stance score and one of five labels: Defensive, Caution, Neutral, Constructive, or Aggressive. It provides context for evaluating risk without prescribing position size or trades. The score updates after each US market close.
The Stance score begins with a fixed 30/30/20/20 raw blend of Trend, Breadth, Leadership, and Macro; publishable missing pillars are neutral-filled at 50 rather than reweighted. A gain-2 contrast stretches that blend around 50, then a continuous weakest-pillar agreement ceiling limits disagreement. Aggressive requires complete coverage and every pillar is at least 50. A stress multiplier applies when the Macro subscore falls below 30, and the final 0-100 result is displayed to one decimal place.
A Stance score of 50 sits in the middle of the Neutral band (40-59 on the 0-100 scale). It signals that the four subscores are mixed, with no decisive regime. Because the formula applies gain-2 contrast around 50 and a weakest-pillar agreement ceiling, 50 is the model center rather than a historical average or forecast. The reading describes balanced current evidence; it does not prescribe positions, entries, exits, or a specific level of portfolio risk.