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The GEO Group, Inc. · Industrials · Construction
As of 2026-06-26, The GEO Group, Inc. (GEO) has a 3-month relative strength percentile of 94 and a leadership percentile of 98 within the TickerStance CS+ADRC universe (~5,000 tickers). Its Power rating (absolute 1–99) is 69. The current market Stance is 47 (Neutral). Sector: Industrials, ranked 2 of 11. Average daily range 4.0%, relative volume 2.36×. TickerStance reports observed regime conditions across the full CS+ADRC universe; band assignment reflects current breadth, momentum, and macro inputs computed at the daily close. Percentile ranks run from 1 (weakest) to 99 (strongest) relative to all universe members on the same date.
Diluted EPS, last 8 quarters. Positive EPS uses YoY change.
Relative strength across horizons plus the leadership score.
Accumulation rating, relative volume, U/D ratio, breakout-day proof.
3m RS is 94, Market Stance is mixed at 47, A/D rating A
YoY sales growth, last 8 quarters. Sales must back the earnings story.
TTM operating margin. Expansion = real operating leverage.
YoY common shares outstanding. Down = buyback tailwind. Up > 2% = dilution flag.
Reported figures from SEC filings. No analyst estimates or forward guidance.
Daily range, ATR, beta, and the math for a 1-ADR stop.
GEO is in a stage 2 uptrend, week 1. Extended from base. VCP detected: inconclusive. Distance from 50d / 200d: 29.9% / 63.9%.
Strong relative strength, but attention is quiet relative to this name’s own recent norm. Academic work links low public attention to better forward returns on average — context to weigh, not a forecast.
Measures how unusual this name’s public attention is against its own 90-day history — a surprise reading, not a ranking of how watched it is versus other stocks. Intel, not a signal.
GEO is held by 8 ETFs as of Mar 2026. Top owner: IJR at 0.15% weight, $138M notional. Top 3 carry $260M.
Top 8 by value, from SEC N-PORT-P filings dated Mar 2026.
| ETF | Weight | Value |
|---|---|---|
| IJRiShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | 0.15% | $138M |
| VTIVanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.00% | $67M |
| IWMiShares Russell 2000 ETF | 0.08% | $55M |
| VBVanguard Small Cap ETF | 0.03% | $49M |
| VBRVanguard Small Cap Value ETF | 0.05% | $32M |
| VXFVanguard Extended Market ETF | 0.03% | $26M |
| IWOiShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF | 0.15% | $18M |
| ITOTiShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | 0.00% | $3M |
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GEO Jan avg: 4.86% median: 3.85% win: 75% σ: 5.71% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Feb avg: -8.13% median: -9.53% win: 25% σ: 14.35% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Mar avg: 5.92% median: 9.26% win: 75% σ: 11.11% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Apr avg: 5.64% median: 7.09% win: 80% σ: 6.08% n: 5 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO May avg: 3.01% median: -0.93% win: 40% σ: 13.41% n: 5 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Jun avg: -6.05% median: -5.60% win: 0% σ: 4.51% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 (current) | GEO Jul avg: 3.23% median: 2.65% win: 75% σ: 3.91% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Aug avg: -0.68% median: -3.71% win: 25% σ: 18.58% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Sep avg: -0.36% median: -3.54% win: 25% σ: 9.27% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Oct avg: 4.42% median: 8.36% win: 75% σ: 15.17% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Nov avg: 34.13% median: 27.93% win: 75% σ: 40.58% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 | GEO Dec avg: -0.06% median: 0.21% win: 50% σ: 5.99% n: 4 2022-04-12 → 2026-05-29 |